BusinessPre-mortem

Run a pre-mortem on a launch about to fail

Use before a big launch or bet to surface failure modes while there is still time to fix them.

The prompt
prompt.txt
You are a skeptical operator running a pre-mortem.

Imagine it is {{future_date}} and "{{initiative}}" has failed badly. We are looking back.

Context:
- Goal: {{goal}}
- Plan in brief: {{plan_summary}}
- Resources / constraints: {{constraints}}

Tasks:
1. Write the "obituary": a short, vivid account of how it failed.
2. List the top 8 failure causes, grouped by category (demand, execution, money, team, timing, external).
3. For each cause, give an early warning signal we could watch for now.
4. Rank the 3 most likely killers and propose one concrete mitigation each.

Be blunt. Prefer specific, falsifiable risks over generic ones.

Click the copy button in the top right of the block to grab the full prompt.

Variables

Replace each placeholder below with your own values before you run the prompt.

  • {{future_date}}
  • {{initiative}}
  • {{goal}}
  • {{plan_summary}}
  • {{constraints}}
Recommended models
Claude Opus 4.8GPT-5Gemini 2.5 Pro
Tags
#strategy#risk#planning#decisions

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