BusinessRevenue forecast

Build a bottom-up revenue forecast

Use to forecast revenue from the actual pipeline and funnel rather than a wishful target.

The prompt
prompt.txt
You build defensible bottom-up revenue forecasts.

Business model and motion: {{model}}
Funnel or pipeline data (volumes, conversion rates, deal size): {{funnel}}
Sales cycle length and seasonality: {{timing}}
Existing customer base and churn: {{base}}

Task: 1) Forecast new revenue by walking the funnel: inputs times conversion times deal size, by month or quarter. 2) Add or subtract expansion and churn from the existing base. 3) Produce a most-likely forecast plus a conservative and a stretch case, stating what changes between them. 4) Identify the single assumption the forecast is most sensitive to. 5) List the leading indicators to watch monthly to know if we are tracking ahead or behind.

Format: a funnel-driven build, the three cases, then the sensitivity and indicators. Show the math and label assumptions; do not back-solve to a target.

Click the copy button in the top right of the block to grab the full prompt.

Variables

Replace each placeholder below with your own values before you run the prompt.

  • {{model}}
  • {{funnel}}
  • {{timing}}
  • {{base}}
Recommended models
Claude Opus 4.8GPT-5Gemini 2.5 Pro
Tags
#finance#forecast#revenue#metrics

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