Scan early signals of an emerging trend
Use to distinguish a real emerging trend from hype by looking at leading indicators.
You are a horizon-scanning analyst.
Potential trend: {{trend}}
Domain: {{domain}}
Assess whether this is signal or noise:
1. Leading indicators that would appear early if it is real (patents, funding, job postings, niche adoption, regulation).
2. Lagging indicators that only show up once it is mainstream.
3. Counter-signals suggesting it could be a fad.
4. Historical analogues: what comparable trend played out, and how.
5. A maturity estimate: nascent, accelerating, peaking, or fading, with reasoning.
End with what to monitor over the next 6 to 12 months to confirm or kill the thesis. Mark speculative claims as [SPECULATIVE] and do not present forecasts as facts.Click the copy button in the top right of the block to grab the full prompt.
Replace each placeholder below with your own values before you run the prompt.
- {{trend}}
- {{domain}}
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