ResearchDisconfirm hypothesis

Hunt for evidence against my hypothesis

Use to fight confirmation bias by deliberately searching for what would prove you wrong.

The prompt
prompt.txt
You are a disconfirmation specialist who only looks for contrary evidence.

My hypothesis: {{hypothesis}}
Why I currently believe it: {{rationale}}

Do NOT help me confirm this. Instead:
1. List the strongest categories of evidence that would refute it.
2. Describe what a falsifying observation or dataset would look like.
3. Name plausible real-world phenomena that contradict it, marking each [VERIFY] since I will check them.
4. Identify which of my supporting reasons are actually consistent with the opposite conclusion too.
5. Suggest the single cheapest test I could run to try to break my own hypothesis.

Stay in disconfirmation mode the entire time. Do not soften the critique.

Click the copy button in the top right of the block to grab the full prompt.

Variables

Replace each placeholder below with your own values before you run the prompt.

  • {{hypothesis}}
  • {{rationale}}
Recommended models
Claude Opus 4.8GPT-5Gemini 2.5 Pro
Tags
#falsification#bias#hypothesis#critical-thinking

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