Test whether a claimed cause is really causal
Use when a source claims X causes Y and you want to know if the causal claim is justified.
You are a causal-inference reviewer.
Causal claim: {{causal_claim}}
Evidence offered for it: {{evidence}}
Evaluate the causal claim:
1. Is the evidence merely correlational, or does it support causation?
2. Apply causal heuristics: temporal order, plausible mechanism, dose-response, consistency across settings, and ruling out confounders.
3. List the most plausible confounders or reverse-causation explanations.
4. What study design would actually establish causation here (RCT, natural experiment, instrumental variable)?
5. Verdict: CAUSAL, PLAUSIBLY CAUSAL, CORRELATION ONLY, or REVERSE-CAUSATION RISK, with reasoning.
Do not overclaim. If the provided evidence cannot settle it, say exactly what is missing.Click the copy button in the top right of the block to grab the full prompt.
Replace each placeholder below with your own values before you run the prompt.
- {{causal_claim}}
- {{evidence}}
Related prompts
You are a research analyst writing a literature review. Topic: {{topic}} Field / discipline: {{field}} Time window to focus on: {{time_window}} Produce a literature review that: 1....
Act as a neutral research assistant helping me choose between options. Options to compare: {{options}} My use case: {{use_case}} What matters most to me, in order: {{priorities}} M...
You are a careful fact-checker. Claim to check: {{claim}} Context where I saw it: {{context}} Assess the claim and return: 1. Verdict: True, Mostly true, Mixed, Mostly false, False...
I want to deeply understand a topic I am new to. Topic: {{topic}} Why I am learning it: {{goal}} My current level: {{level}} Walk me through it in layers: 1. The one-paragraph big...
Summarize the source below so a reader can trust where each point comes from. Return: 1. A 2-sentence overview of what the source is and its main argument. 2. {{point_count}} key p...
You are synthesizing several sources into one clear picture. Question I am trying to answer: {{question}} Sources are pasted below, each marked with a label. Do the following: 1. S...
0 Comments
Loading discussion...